Source-Backed Research

PREDICT Claim Choice Opens: Take 35% Now or Lock for 12 Months

7 min

The short answer

Binance Wallet users with Predict Points can now choose how to receive their PREDICT allocation: take 35% immediately and give up the remaining 65%, or stake for a year to receive the full allocation, according to Odaily's October 28 report at 16:16 SGT. Users choosing the immediate route who want tokens on the listing day must submit the form before October 29 at 17:00 SGT. The report gives November 26 at 17:00 SGT as the final form deadline. Odaily's report on the claim choice.

This afternoon's claim instructions add a practical decision to the earlier tokenomics announcement: PREDICT has a reported total supply of 1 billion, with 16% unlocking at its token generation event, or TGE. The percentage available to an individual claimant and the percentage of total supply unlocking describe different things. For background on the separate derivatives product, see our earlier PREDICT pre-market perpetual report. Odaily's tokenomics report.

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The form deadline matters before the token reaches your account

Odaily attributes the new instructions to a Binance Wallet announcement. It says users can check Predict Points, abbreviated PP, through the Binance app's Assets → Prediction Account route, or through Binance Wallet's Discover → dApp → Prediction → Assets route. Those are the paths described in the report; start inside the app or wallet you already use to inspect the balance and the allocation presented to your account. Reported wallet instructions.

For an immediate claim, the submission time affects the distribution batch. The first deadline is October 29 at 17:00 SGT for users seeking receipt on PREDICT's listing day. The report does not identify a separate listing timestamp. A deadline attached to a claim form therefore should not be read as an announcement that exchange trading begins at that same hour.

Later submissions enter subsequent weekly distribution batches. Odaily describes November 6, 13, 20 and 27 as expected distribution dates, with each application cutoff at 17:00 SGT on the preceding day. The final submission deadline is November 26 at 17:00 SGT. The word “expected” belongs with those distribution dates: a scheduled batch and an already completed transfer are different stages. Reported distribution schedule.

Article table: scroll horizontally, or focus the table area and use the arrow keys.

Immediate-claim routeForm cutoff, SGTReported distribution timing
Listing-day receiptOctober 29, 17:00PREDICT listing day; exact hour unstated
Later weekly batchNovember 5, 17:00Expected November 6
Later weekly batchNovember 12, 17:00Expected November 13
Later weekly batchNovember 19, 17:00Expected November 20
Final batchNovember 26, 17:00Expected November 27

The later cutoffs in the table follow the report's rule of the previous day at 17:00. All reader-facing times here are Singapore Time. Source for the dates and cutoff rule.

Save the allocation shown to your account and the option you submit. If you choose immediate receipt, write down the deadline for the batch you are targeting alongside that record. This keeps an expected distribution date from becoming confused with the date you completed the form. Our activities page provides a separate place to browse related event coverage.

What 35% means for an individual allocation

The immediate route gives up part of the assigned tokens. Odaily explicitly says the remaining 65% is forfeited. That makes the choice different from receiving an initial installment and waiting for the balance under the same immediate-claim option. Before submitting, compare the token amounts displayed under both choices. Claim terms as reported by Odaily.

For a hypothetical allocation of 1,000 PREDICT, the arithmetic is 1,000 × 35% = 350 tokens available through the immediate option. The forfeited amount is 1,000 × 65% = 650 tokens. Under the other reported option, the allocation is 1,000 tokens after the one-year staking period. These are assumed token counts to explain the percentages, not an account entitlement or a forecast of what the tokens will be worth.

The same arithmetic scales to whatever allocation the account actually shows. A hypothetical allocation of 200 tokens gives 70 immediately and forfeits 130 under the immediate option. Keeping the example in tokens avoids inserting a market price into a decision whose published terms concern a share of an allocation and a waiting period.

The twelve-month route involves a different timing commitment. The available report says users stake in the token project for a year and receive 100% of their allocation. It does not establish the exact start timestamp of an individual user's lock, whether a submitted choice can be changed, or the mechanics of an early exit. Treat those as questions for the claim screen before confirming a selection. The scope of the reported staking option.

A useful comparison record has the allocation amount, the immediate amount, the forfeited amount and the duration shown for staking. Record an exact start and end date only if the account's terms supply them. Do not assume that selecting an option, submitting a form and receiving tokens happen at one moment.

The 16% TGE release uses a larger denominator

Earlier on October 28, Odaily and PANews reported Predict.fun's token distribution announcement. The total supply is 1 billion PREDICT, and 16% is set to unlock at TGE. Multiplying those figures gives 160 million tokens. That calculation describes the scheduled initial release from the total supply. It does not say how many tokens any claimant receives. PANews on the announced supply.

The announced allocation divides the supply across five categories. Applying the reported percentages to 1 billion gives the following token amounts. Odaily's allocation figures.

Article table: scroll horizontally, or focus the table area and use the arrow keys.

Allocation categoryShare of total supplyTokens, calculated
Ecosystem and community51.95%519.5 million
Early supporters26.05%260.5 million
Core contributors10%100 million
Treasury8%80 million
Liquidity4%40 million

The percentages add to 100%: 51.95 + 26.05 + 10 + 8 + 4. Each token amount is the category percentage multiplied by the reported total supply. An allocation category describes where the tokens are assigned; the table does not establish that every category becomes available at TGE.

Both reports say core contributors and early supporters are fully locked at TGE. Their schedule has a 24-month cliff, followed by monthly releases across 36 months. Together, the two allocations represent 36.05% of supply, or 360.5 million tokens by arithmetic. Their reported lock schedule extends across five years. PANews on the contributor and supporter schedule.

Those numbers help separate scheduled future releases from the initial unlock. They do not identify the exact liquid amount available on a particular exchange. The reports do not give a live circulating-supply count, exchange balances or a token contract address. A trader checking a deposit page still needs the specific asset and supported network shown there.

Season 1 has a 70 million-token allocation

The earlier announcement assigns 70 million PREDICT to the Season 1 airdrop, equal to 7% of the total supply. This is another denominator to keep separate. The 7% describes the season's allocation relative to all PREDICT; the 35% claim choice describes the fraction of an individual eligible allocation taken immediately. Season 1 figures in Odaily's report.

For scale, applying 35% to the entire 70 million-token Season 1 allocation gives 24.5 million tokens. Applying 65% gives 45.5 million tokens. This is a conditional calculation assuming the same immediate choice across that entire allocation. It is not a reported result, a count of submitted choices, or a prediction of tokens entering trading.

The actual distribution depends on who is eligible, what each account is assigned and which option each participant selects. None of the opened reports gives a verified total for completed claims. The 160 million-token TGE release and the conditional 24.5 million calculation should therefore remain separate in any spreadsheet or trading note.

The Prime Sale is another event with its own window

Odaily also reports a Binance Wallet Prime Sale Pre-TGE subscription for PREDICT on October 29 from 16:00 to 18:00 SGT. It says eligible users need Binance Alpha Points to participate and that further details and the activity page would be announced separately. Odaily's report of the subscription window.

That two-hour subscription window overlaps the 17:00 SGT cutoff for the listing-day immediate-claim form. Keep the tasks separate. The claim report refers to Predict Points and an existing allocation; the sale report refers to Binance Alpha Points and a subscription. Neither report establishes that possessing one type of points qualifies an account for the other event.

Before acting on either screen, identify which event it belongs to and which points balance it names. Check the displayed eligibility and any asset commitment before proceeding with a subscription. The subscription price, purchase limit and exact Alpha Points threshold remain unspecified in that report. Those details should come from the event's own terms rather than from the airdrop arithmetic. Related event coverage belongs on the activities page.

What to check next

For a PP holder using Binance Wallet, check the account before selecting the claim route:

  • Open Assets → Prediction Account in the Binance app, or Discover → dApp → Prediction → Assets in Binance Wallet, to check the PP balance described in Odaily's report.
  • Compare the displayed immediate amount and forfeited amount with the one-year choice, then review the form cutoff for the intended batch before submitting.

Retain the submission record for the selected batch. For someone following PREDICT through an exchange, identify whether the screen concerns pre-market derivatives, the Prime Sale, a deposit or the airdrop form before placing an order or moving assets.

Odaily and PANews both describe the same underlying Predict.fun tokenomics announcement. Their agreement does not constitute two independent measurements of circulating supply. The wallet deadlines come from Odaily's report of Binance Wallet's announcement. The next useful evidence is the account-specific allocation, full claim terms and the announced distribution record; the opened reports do not establish a market price or a completed payout. Latest claim instructions in this report.

Sources

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  1. OdailyPredict.fun公布PREDICT代币经济学:总供应量10亿枚,TGE解锁16%
  2. PANewsPredict.fun Unveils PREDICT Tokenomics: 1 Billion Total Supply, 16% Unlocked at TGE
  3. Odaily币安钱包将于明日16时开启predict.fun代币PREDICT Prime Sale Pre-TGE认购
  4. Odaily币安钱包开放PREDICT空投领取方式选择,用户可立即领取35%或锁仓一年领取全部份额