PREDICT claim stays postponed as Season 2 pays 7.51 million PP to 60,213 users, while the November 26 form deadline has not moved

What changed and what did not

The November 6 release date passed with the token still not live. Under the revised notice, that batch waits and joins the first post-launch release.

Binance's listing postponement notice was two sentences and gave no reason. Predict.fun told users it supports Binance's work to strengthen security and is waiting to confirm a new launch date, Odaily reported. The two news reports relay one X post, which we did not open directly, so they count as one origin for the project's words.

Binance's recovery updates give no help on timing. We read updates #3 through #9, the latest dated November 6, and none mentions Alpha or PREDICT. Update #9 covers another phased reopening of withdrawals, and Update #7 says about 98% of the impacted amount had been replenished. Withdrawal progress may or may not set the Alpha date. We found no statement linking the two beyond the project's own explanation.

The batch rule, with dates

Binance says eligibility for each batch still follows that batch's original questionnaire cutoff, which is 17:00 SGT on the day before the release date.

So the delay has removed one reason to rush. A reader who submits Option A on November 12 would land in the same first post-launch batch as an earlier applicant, as long as launch comes after November 13. That is our reading of the merge rule. Binance has not published a worked example.

Tokens go to the account where your points sit. PP viewed under Binance, Assets, Prediction Account pays to your Binance Alpha account. PP viewed under Binance Wallet, Discover, dApp, Predict, Assets pays to your Binance Wallet.

What the original launch plan tells you to expect

Binance has not published a new sequence, but its original listing notice shows the moving parts. Spot pairs were PREDICT/USDT, PREDICT/USDC and PREDICT/TRY, with a seed tag on the token. Deposits were to open before trading, and withdrawals 24 hours after it, an estimate, with the actual status shown on the withdrawal page.

The Alpha details matter for anyone on Path 1. Once spot opens, PREDICT leaves Binance Alpha, holders can still sell through Alpha, and Binance moves balances from Alpha to spot accounts within 24 hours. Coin Gabbar reported the earlier Alpha debut was set for one hour before spot, and that the Pre-TGE Prime Sale ran the day before with a 6 BNB per-user cap. Those buyers are waiting on the same start. Odaily's tokenomics report puts the unlock at TGE at 16% of the 1 billion supply, with early backers and core contributors fully locked for 24 months.

These figures were set for October 30, so wait for a new notice before relying on any exact hour.

The price you are deciding against is a thin contract

Option A pays 35% of your allocation in a release batch after launch and forfeits the other 65% permanently. Option B pays 100% after a year of staking. PREDICT has no spot market on Binance, so the only live reference we could read is Binance's pre-market perpetual, which we covered at its October 25 launch.

From the first open to the last price is a fall of about 23.5%: (1.2389 − 1.62) ÷ 1.62. At the mark price, one billion total supply works out to about 1.23 billion USDT. Volume over the last 24 hours was roughly 3.5% of the October 29 peak, so a small order can move this reference. Read that as a warning about the reference. It says nothing about where spot would open.

Here is the arithmetic on an assumed allocation of 1,000 PREDICT, using today's mark price as a yardstick.

• Option A: 1,000 × 35% = 350 PREDICT, or about 430 USDT at 1.2299.
• Option B: 1,000 PREDICT after a year of staking.
• Break-even: Option B gives the same dollar value as selling 350 tokens at 1.2299 if PREDICT is worth about 0.43 USDT when the stake ends (1.2299 × 0.35).

That number is a yardstick. Spot could open somewhere else, and CryptoTicker's guide to the choice notes that a year of staking carries price and smart-contract risk, which the sum leaves out.

What 124.7 PP a user means for Season 2

7,509,600 PP divided by 60,213 users is about 124.7 PP each, our arithmetic. Averages hide most of the distribution here. Predict's points guide says the majority of points go to liquidity providers, with users also receiving points weekly for trading fees paid and positions held. Reports of the payout gave no median and no leaderboard split.

The figure shown on a market as PP per hour is the top rate, shared among all liquidity providers. Odaily's report repeats that actual rewards depend on how long orders rest and how much market-making flow they catch. The guide adds that PP is distributed weekly, with 5 to 6 days allowed for calculation after each week closes, so points earned today will not appear today. On the fees page, makers pay no fee and takers pay from 0.018% to 2% depending on share price and any active discount.

Neither report says how Season 2 PP converts to tokens, and we found no published rate. Binance's allocation notice does not mention Season 2. Do not price Season 2 points using the Season 1 allocation until Predict.fun publishes a rule.

What to do now

1. Check your PP balance through one of the two official paths above and note which account your tokens would go to.
2. Decide on Option A or B before November 26, 17:00 SGT, and remember you get one submission with no edits. Doing nothing means Option B.
3. Do not chase a claim page. With claiming postponed, a site or DM offering PREDICT now is a phishing risk, and a security incident is the moment fake "compensation" links spread. The contract address in Binance's listing notice is 0x8888cef3923385c7f90ade66d09f41fb16668888 on BNB Smart Chain.
4. If you trade the perpetual, size for a thin book. Binance's contract notice sets different funding caps during and after pre-market, and our funding rates page shows how other contracts are paying.
5. Watch for two announcements: a Binance Wallet Alpha start time and a Binance spot listing time. Coin Gabbar reported that Binance Wallet will give the new Alpha time in an official post, and the merged batch depends on launch.

What we could not confirm

We could not confirm when Binance Wallet Alpha returns, whether withdrawal recovery is what is holding it, how many users chose each option, or whether the November 26 deadline will move if launch slips further. Binance's notice leaves it unchanged as of its November 5 revision.

Quick answers

Did the November 6 PREDICT batch get paid?

The token was still not live, per the project's November 7 statement. Binance's revised notice says that batch merges into the first release after launch.

Do I need to resubmit the form?

No. Binance says users do not need to resubmit. Each user can submit only once, and the form cannot be changed afterward.

What happens if I never submit?

Option B applies: your allocation goes through one year of staking and pays 100% afterward.

Is PREDICT trading on Binance spot?

No. The spot listing set for October 30 is postponed until further notice, and only the pre-market perpetual was trading when we read the data.